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Ebola situation report as of January 28, 2019
Total cases: 736
Confirmed: 682
Probable: 54
Total deaths: 459
Confirmed: 405
Probable: 54
*Data published by DRC Ministry of Health. "Probable" deaths refer to deaths that were linked to confirmed Ebola cases but not tested before burial.
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MSF's role
At the request of the Ministry of Health (MoH), Doctors Without Borders/Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF) is part of the national task force coordinating the intervention on several pillars of the Ebola response:
- Caring for patients affected by the virus (in Ebola treatment centers in Butembo and Katwa) and treating and screening suspected cases (in transit centers in Beni, Bunia, Bwana Sura, and Kayna);
- Communication & Health Promotion with the communities;
- Vaccination of frontline health workers in Ituri, Katwa/Butembo, Beni, Lubero;
- Infection Prevention & Control: protecting local health structures and health workers by helping with screening patients, hand and foot disinfection, capacity for short-term isolation of patients with suspected Ebola, and decontamination of the facilities where confirmed Ebola patients have transited;
- Training of staff;
- Supporting surveillance activities.
In total, more than 200 MSF staff members are currently working in Ebola projects in North Kivu and Ituri. (This total does not include MoH personnel working in MSF structures.)
As of January 27, 2019, MSF has received 3,292 people at its Ebola treatment centers and transit centers in the affected region. We have treated a total of 321 patients confirmed with Ebola.
MSF has so far vaccinated over 4,800 frontline health workers, particularly in the areas along the North Kivu-Ituri border and in Butembo.
Local context
The epicenter of the outbreak is in North Kivu province, a densely populated area in the country’s northeast with approximately seven million inhabitants. Despite the challenges of rough terrain and bad roads, the population is highly mobile. North Kivu shares a border with Uganda to the east and sees a lot of trade, as well as human trafficking and “irregular” crossings. Some communities live on both sides of the border and cross back and forth frequently to visit relatives or trade goods.
North Kivu has been an area of conflict for over 25 years, with more than 100 armed groups estimated to be active. Criminal activity, such as kidnappings, are relatively common, and skirmishes between armed groups occur regularly. Widespread violence has uprooted people and made some areas in the region quite difficult to access. While most of the urban areas are relatively less exposed to the conflict, attacks and explosions have taken place in Beni, a regional administrative center, sometimes limiting MSF’s ability to run operations.
The current epidemic was first declared in the small town of Mangina, and the outbreak’s epicenter has appeared to move toward the south, first to the city of Beni, and later to the larger city of Butembo, a trading hub. Nearby Katwa became a new hotspot near the end of 2018, and recently cases have been found further south, in the Kanya area. Meanwhile, sporadic cases have also appeared in neighboring Ituri province to the north, most recently in Komanda health zone.
Overall, the geographic spread of the epidemic appears to be unpredictable, with diffused small clusters potentially occurring anywhere in the region. This pattern makes ending the outbreak even more challenging. Given the appearance of new confirmed cases further to the south, the risk of the epidemic reaching Goma, the capital of the province, is another reason for concern.
The fact that some of the new cases are not linked to any previously known chains of transmissions is also worrisome, as it makes it more difficult to trace contacts and control the evolution of the outbreak.
Katwa is currently the main hotspot of the outbreak. Sixty-five percent of new Ebola cases (68 out of 104 cases) recorded during the last three weeks come from Katwa.
A decision to postpone presidential elections originally scheduled for December 22 sparked tensions throughout the country, especially in pro-opposition strongholds such as Beni and Butembo. On December 26, the national electoral commission (CENI) announced that elections would be further postponed in three areas, including Beni and Butembo, because of the ongoing Ebola outbreak and the risk of attacks. This announcement resulted in violent protests, especially in Beni.
Amid the unrest in Beni, an MSF transit center for treatment and screening of people with suspected Ebola was vandalized on December 27. The incident led to the temporary evacuation of the team. Of the 28 patients that were in the transit center at the time of the demonstrations, nine people spontaneously left the center, 18 were referred to a CTE run by Alima, and one was discharged. With no patients left, activities at the Beni transit center were temporarily on standby; the center opened again on January 1 and is now fully operational.
Several health centers in and around Beni were damaged during the December protests. Some of the health centers targeted had received support from our Infection Prevention and Control (IPC) teams to be able to properly screen and refer patients showing symptoms indicating Ebola. These attacks have both reduced the community’s access to general health care and reduced the number of facilities equipped to screen and refer suspected Ebola cases.
During the peak of insecurity, MSF also had to temporarily limit all activities outside the transit center in Beni and the treatment centers in Butembo and Katwa. This resulted in the additional challenge of an accumulated delay in screening and treating potential confirmed cases, as well as identifying their contacts. Moreover, while IPC support was suspended, patients might have been contaminated inside health structures, accelerating the spread of the disease. Sick people have been known to visit more than one health center before being identified as suspected cases and referred to an Ebola Treatment Center. This work is also made more difficult by the relative inaccessibility of parts of the region due to insecurity.
Since the beginning of this Ebola outbreak, almost 6,000 contacts have been identified, and more than 5,100 followed up by the Congolese Ministry of Health (MoH). Nearly 17,850 contacts have been vaccinated. The contact tracing and follow-up is done by the MoH with a team of epidemiologists.